Recent developments in Mali, Burkina Faso, and Niger have prompted scrutiny and inquiries into the unseen forces influencing military decisions in the Sahel region. Notably, this issue has caught the attention of international observers, with questions arising about the advisors guiding the military leadership in these countries.
Upon receiving news of these developments, an industry expert from Nigeria, deeply connected to the security landscape, reached out, posing a critical question: “Who are advising the soldiers in the Sahel?” This query reflects the growing interest in understanding the dynamics at play behind the scenes.
In the realm of security analysis, attention to the orientation and influence of advisors to key decision-makers is crucial for forecasting and mitigating potential surprises in the rapidly evolving security landscape. The roles played by these advisors could hold more significance than commonly acknowledged.
A noteworthy instance is Mali’s departure from the Algerian accord with moderate rebels, aligning itself with Burkina Faso and Niger in exiting the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS). This strategic move prompts questions about the advisors guiding such decisions and their geopolitical implications.
Algeria’s substantial ties with Russia, a global ally of Mali, and its status as a neighboring littoral state add complexity to the situation. The decision to sever regional ties with other West African littoral states necessitates sophisticated advice, highlighting the importance of understanding the counsel received by military leadership.
The “Lomé Peace and Security Forum” held in Togo last October provided insights into the minds of junta-led states and their engagement with regional and continental actors. Notably, civilian foreign ministers representing Mali and Burkina Faso participated, deviating from the historical trend of juntas appointing military figures to head foreign ministries.
During the forum, these civilian ministers articulated perspectives that shed light on their influence over the military leadership. Burkina Faso’s Foreign Minister questioned the efficacy of democracy in Africa, while Mali’s Foreign Minister, a former ambassador to the US and a foreign minister in a civilian government, advocated for stronger ties with Russia.
The Malian Foreign Minister’s eloquence and charisma, combined with his past experience, suggest that he is a trusted advisor to the junta. However, his apparent desire for retribution against civilian politicians with whom he has disagreements raises intriguing questions about the dynamics within the advisory circle.
The unfolding events in the Sahel region underscore the need for a nuanced understanding of the advisors shaping military strategies. This revelation prompts further inquiry into the unseen influencers guiding key decisions and their impact on regional stability.
Written by
Fidel Amakye Owusu
The “Lomé Peace and Security Forum” held in Togo last October provided insights into the minds of junta-led states and their engagement with regional and continental actors. Notably, civilian foreign ministers representing Mali and Burkina Faso participated, deviating from the historical trend of juntas appointing military figures to head foreign ministries.